1999 Montana Legislature

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HOUSE JOINT RESOLUTION NO. 2

INTRODUCED BY B. STORY

BY REQUEST OF THE REVENUE OVERSIGHT COMMITTEE



Montana State Seal

A JOINT RESOLUTION OF THE SENATE AND THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES OF THE STATE OF MONTANA ESTABLISHING AN OFFICIAL ESTIMATE OF THE STATE'S ANTICIPATED REVENUE FOR EACH YEAR OF THE 2000-01 BIENNIUM FOR THE PURPOSE OF ACHIEVING A BALANCED BUDGET AS MANDATED BY ARTICLE VIII, SECTION 9, OF THE MONTANA CONSTITUTION; ACCEPTING THE JUNE 30, 1998, GENERAL FUND BALANCE THAT WAS ESTABLISHED BASED ON GENERALLY ACCEPTED ACCOUNTING PRINCIPLES; ESTABLISHING OFFICIAL ESTIMATES OF CERTAIN NONGENERAL FUND REVENUE; AND REQUESTING THE GOVERNOR'S OFFICE OF BUDGET AND PROGRAM PLANNING TO USE THE REVENUE ESTIMATES CONTAINED IN THIS RESOLUTION AS OFFICIAL REVENUE ESTIMATES FOR FISCAL YEARS 1999-2000 AND 2000-01.



     WHEREAS, Article VI, section 9, of the Montana Constitution requires the Governor to submit to the Legislature a budget for the ensuing fiscal period, containing in detail for all operating funds the proposed expenditures and estimated revenue of the state; and

     WHEREAS, Article VIII, section 9, of the Montana Constitution prohibits the Legislature from appropriating funds in excess of the anticipated revenue of the state; and

     WHEREAS, section 5-18-107(5), MCA, requires the Revenue Oversight Committee to estimate the amount of revenue projected to be available for legislative appropriation and to introduce legislation setting forth the Committee's current revenue estimate for the biennium; and

     WHEREAS, the Legislature intends that its revenue estimates and the underlying assumptions used to derive those estimates be used by all agencies in the development of fiscal notes; and

     WHEREAS, section 5-12-302(7), MCA, requires the Legislative Fiscal Analyst to assist the Revenue Oversight Committee in its revenue estimating duties; and

     WHEREAS, the Revenue Oversight Committee obtains the assistance of Executive Branch agencies in the development of the revenue estimates; and

     WHEREAS, the Revenue Oversight Committee has improved the process of developing its revenue estimates; and

     WHEREAS, the Revenue Oversight Committee has adopted revenue estimates for specific nongeneral fund sources that are significant in the development of the state budget for the 2001 biennium; and

     WHEREAS, the Revenue Oversight Committee adopted an estimate of capital gains tax revenue associated with the sale of electrical generation facilities; and

     WHEREAS, the timing of the capital gains related to the sale of the electrical generation facilities and the actual tax liabilities of the electric utilities selling the generation facilities are difficult to determine with certainty; and

     WHEREAS, Montana is one of 46 states to sign an agreement with tobacco companies that secures for the states a financial settlement related to illegal activities of the tobacco companies; and

     WHEREAS, Montana's share of the financial settlement has been calculated to be $66.8 million over the next 3 years; and

     WHEREAS, final approval of the agreement and potential federal claims on Montana's share of the settlement may affect the timing and actual amount of settlement proceeds; and

     WHEREAS, the complexity of revenue forecasting and the diversity of sources from which state revenue is obtained make it difficult to project revenue in order to prepare a balanced budget for the ensuing biennium; and

     WHEREAS, the amount of estimated revenue affects policy decisions of the Executive Branch and the Legislative Branch; and

     WHEREAS, the revenue estimates and underlying assumptions contained in this resolution provide the basis for a comprehensive analysis of the state's financial condition; and

     WHEREAS, it is in the best interests of the state that revenue estimates be discussed and arrived at in public hearings at which all interested parties may attend and participate.



NOW, THEREFORE, BE IT RESOLVED BY THE SENATE AND THE HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES OF THE STATE OF MONTANA:

     That the state general fund revenue for fiscal years 1999, 2000, and 2001 be estimated to be $1,068,122,000, $1,128,363,000, and $1,125,835,000, respectively.

     BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that the Legislature accept for budget purposes the unreserved fund balance of $44,309,000 for the general fund, prepared according to generally accepted accounting principles as published in the audited state financial statements as of June 30, 1998.

     BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that because of the uncertainty associated with the estimated capital gains tax revenue, that estimate is shown separately in the resolution as general fund revenue available for one-time appropriation.

     BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that because factors beyond the control of Montana may affect the timing and actual amount, the anticipated amount of tobacco settlement money available for appropriation from the general fund is shown separately.

     BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that the Governor's Office of Budget and Program Planning use the revenue estimates and the underlying assumptions contained in this resolution as the official revenue estimates for fiscal years 1999-2000 and 2000-01.

GENERAL FUND REVENUE

     The projections for total general fund revenue during the 2000-01 biennium are based on an assumption of a continuation of Montana law as it existed on January 1, 1999. The revenue estimates contained in the following tables are based on the assumptions stated previously in this resolution, the assumptions listed in the tables that follow the general fund estimates, and the assumptions contained in the revenue detail report prepared by the Legislative Fiscal Division. Actual individual tax income collections for fiscal year 1999 are currently exceeding projected collections. The adjustment to estimated individual income tax collections for fiscal year 1999 does not impact the assumptions of other projections.

Current Law

General Fund Revenue Estimates

(In Millions of Dollars)

Actual Estimated Estimated Estimated

Source of Revenue FY 1998 FY 1999 FY 2000 FY 2001

Individual Income Tax $444.161 $472.703 $475.687 $496.634

55-Mill Property Tax 128.709 132.880 133.698 138.258

40-Mill Property Tax 72.793 71.592 75.105 79.560

Corporation Income Tax 69.725 67.380 65.206 65.739

Common School Interest & Income 41.130 41.437 42.657 42.583

Permanent Trust Interest Earnings 40.746 40.528 41.022 41.941

Insurance Premiums Tax 36.813 37.445 38.629 39.226

All Other Revenue 25.428 31.235 18.067 18.055

U.S. Federal Royalty 22.241 19.039 18.492 18.245

TCA Interest Earnings 18.247 17.425 14.621 14.733

Inheritance Tax 15.727 17.679 16.733 17.878

Video Gaming Tax 12.256 12.748 13.389 14.030

Motor Vehicle License Fee 10.778 10.957 11.191 11.406

Institution Reimbursements 10.335 11.314 9.697 10.041

Cigarette Tax 9.544 9.676 9.810 9.946

Coal Severance Tax 8.849 8.854 8.480 8.041

Oil Severance Tax 8.146 6.392 6.768 7.531

Lottery Profit 6.564 5.424 6.537 6.464

Liquor Excise Tax 6.412 6.517 6.628 6.744

Nursing Facilities Fee 6.200 6.090 5.981 5.874

Telephone License Tax 5.773 6.052 6.344 6.650

Liquor Profits 5.400 5.582 5.667 5.754

Electric Energy License Tax 4.402 4.564 4.567 4.606

Investment Licenses 4.086 4.393 4.691 4.978

Highway Patrol Fines 3.801 3.965 4.136 4.314

Driver's License Fee 2.828 2.846 2.242 1.925

Metalliferous Mines Tax 2.307 2.869 3.525 3.356

Contractor's Gross Receipts Tax 2.291 2.573 3.176 3.520

Railroad Car Tax 2.054 2.110 2.130 2.153

Tobacco Tax 1.779 1.882 1.995 2.116

Long-Range Bond Excess 1.746 0.456 0.432 0.410

Natural Gas Severance Tax 0.974 1.100 1.124 1.109

Wine Tax 0.930 0.982 1.039 1.099

1.5-Mill Property Tax 0.849 1.075 1.107 1.141

Beer Tax 0.358 0.358 0.362 0.366

Total General Fund 1,034.382 1,053.122 1,060.935 1,096.426

One-Time Capital Gains Tax on Generation Assets 0.000 0.000 30.000 0.000

Tobacco Settlement Revenue 0.000 0.000 37.428 29.409

Grand Total General Fund $1,034.382 $1,068.122 $1,128.363 $1,125.835

SIGNIFICANT ASSUMPTIONS FOR GENERAL FUND REVENUE ESTIMATES

Revenue Oversight Committee

Year     Assumption 1998 1999 2000 2001

Individual Income Tax

CY     Taxpayer Population (Percent Change) 1.10% 1.50% 2.00% 2.00%

     Income Indicators

CY     Wage and Salary (Percent Change) 4.30% 4.05% 4.56% 4.67%

CY     Net Farm Income (Percent Change) 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

CY     Interest Income (Percent Change) 2.10% 1.60% 2.50% 3.40%

CY     Dividend Income (Percent Change) 1.00% 4.00% 5.10% 5.10%

CY     Rent/Royalty/Partnership Income (Percent Change) 2.70% 4.90% 4.30% 5.20%

CY     Net Business Income (Percent Change) 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

CY     Capital Gains/Losses (Percent Change) 0.00% 0.00% 5.00% 5.00%

CY     Supplemental Gains (Percent Change) 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

CY     Social Security Income (Percent Change) 12.58% 12.58% 12.58% 12.58%

CY     IRA Income (Percent Change) 8.86% 8.86% 8.86% 8.86%

CY     Pension Income (Percent Change) 8.86% 8.86% 8.86% 8.86%

CY     Other Income (Percent Change) 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%

CY     Additions to Income (Percent Change) 0.77% 0.85% 1.20% 1.36%

CY     IRA Deduction (Percent Change) 3.44% 3.44% 3.44% 3.44%

CY     Reductions to Income (Percent Change) 1.29% 1.46% 1.94% 2.13%

     Deductions From Income

CY     Medical Costs (Percent Change) 5.40% 6.00% 6.90% 7.10%

CY     Property Tax (Percent Change) 8.83% 8.83% 8.83% 8.83%

CY     Motor Vehicle Tax (Percent Change) 3.70% -1.80% 4.20% 5.40%

CY     Home Mortgage (Percent Change) 7.65% 7.65% 7.65% 7.65%

CY     Contributions (Percent Change) 7.68% 7.68% 7.68% 7.68%

     Credits

CY     Home Owner/Renter Credit (Millions) $8.824 $9.053 $9.288 $9.350

CY     Credit for Taxes Paid in Other States (Percent Change) 10.00% 10.00% 10.00% 10.00%

CY     All Other Credits (Percent Change) 1.10% 1.50% 2.00% 2.00%

     Other Individual Income Tax Assumptions

FY     Penalty & Interest (Millions) $3.917 $4.500 $4.950 $4.950

FY     Income Tax Audit Collections (Millions) $8.825 $10.000 $11.000 $11.000

FY     Amended Returns (Millions) $1.359 $2.000 $2.000 $2.000

FY     Federal Tax Reform (Millions) $0.000 $0.000 $3.037 $3.745

CY     Nonresident Tax Liability (Millions) $26.287 $27.132 $28.248 $29.571

CY     Calendar Year to Fiscal Year Conversion 52.1%/47.9% 52.1%/47.9% 52.1%/47.9% 52.1%/47.9%

FY     Fiscal Year 1998 Base (Millions) $438.161

Property Taxes: Taxable Value and Other Property Tax Indicators

     Taxable Value--40-Mill, 55-Mill, and 1.5-Mill Levies (and 6-Mill and 9-Mill Levies)

FY     Property Class One (Millions) $6.862 $7.625 $7.677 $7.689

FY     Property Class Two (Millions) $9.044 $8.781 $8.189 $6.316

FY     Property Class Three (Millions) $143.780 $143.007 $143.007 $143.007

FY     Property Class Four (Millions) $920.067 $952.059 $986.477 $1,002.455

FY     Property Class Five (Millions) $34.034 $34.068 $34.068 $34.068

FY     Property Class Six (Millions) $21.958 $23.833 $23.833 $23.833

FY     Property Class Seven (Millions) $1.616 $1.784 $1.784 $1.784

FY     Property Class Eight (Millions) $220.482 $203.383 $212.501 $222.027

FY     Property Class Nine (Millions) $481.958 $494.535 $508.164 $521.422

FY     Property Class Ten (Millions) $7.449 $7.678 $7.879 $8.104

FY     Property Class Twelve (Millions) $68.029 $65.266 $65.266 $65.266

     Other 40-Mill, 55-Mill, and 1.5-Mill Levies (and 6-Mill and 9-Mill) Indicators

FY     Tax Increment Finance (Millions) $30.186 $48.065 $48.065 $48.065

FY     Property Tax Abatement (Millions) $10.571 $9.071 $9.071 $9.071

     Other 40-Mill Levy Indicators

FY     Nonlevy Revenue (Millions) $7.994 $8.731 $9.424 $10.181

FY     SB 417 and Other Adjustments (Millions) ($12.201) ($13.260) ($12.713) ($11.300)

     Other 55-Mill Levy Indicators

FY     Nonlevy Revenue (Millions) $23.066 $24.110 $23.978 $25.396

FY     SB 417 and Other Adjustments (Millions) $0.274 $1.463 $0.274 $0.274

FY     Federal Forest Receipts (Millions) $2.190 $2.641 $1.654 $1.654

FY     Volume of Timber (Millions of Board Feet) 0.212 NA 0.160 0.160

FY     Timber Price (Per Board Foot) $161.580 NA $161.580 $161.580

FY     Forest Revenue Allocation (Percentage) 25.59% 25.59% 25.59% 25.59%

     Other 1.5-Mill Levy Indicators

FY     Nonlevy Revenue (Millions) $0.123 $0.134 $0.138 $0.144

FY     SB 417 and Other Adjustments (Millions) $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000

     Other Property Tax Indicators

FY     Value of Light Vehicles (Millions) $3,792.655 $4,151.286 $4,547.867 $4,983.633

FY     Flat Fee--Heavy Trucks and Buses (Millions) $2.357 $4.700 $4.770 $4.842

Corporation License Tax

FY     MT Corporate Taxable Income (Millions) $1,089.502 $1,070.793 $1,047.188 $1,056.237

FY     Penalty and Interest (Millions) $1.469 $1.646 $1.646 $1.646

FY     Corporate Income Tax Audits (Millions) $2.919 $3.084 $2.300 $2.300

Insurance Premiums Tax and License Fees

FY     General Fund Fee Revenue (Millions) $2.243 $2.345 $2.477 $2.619

FY     Miscellaneous Receipts (Millions) $0.476 $0.476 $0.476 $0.476

FY     Genetics Fee (Millions) $0.574 $0.563 $0.567 $0.568

FY     Premiums Tax (Millions) $37.685 $37.515 $37.638 $37.613

FY     Offsets (Millions) $3.030 $2.654 $1.729 $1.251

FY     Refunds (Millions) $0.663 $0.800 $0.800 $0.800

Federal Mineral Royalty

CY     Oil Production (Millions of Barrels) 2.833 2.802 2.751 2.691

CY     Coal Production (Millions of Tons) 26.395 24.633 23.864 22.512

CY     Natural Gas Production (MMCF) 11.818 11.845 11.803 11.726

CY     Oil Price (Per Barrel) $13.822 $13.477 $16.226 $17.790

CY     Coal Price (Per Ton) $9.401 $9.449 $9.622 $9.636

CY     Natural Gas Price (Per MCF) $2.383 $2.523 $2.508 $2.492

CY     Oil Royalty Rate (Percentage) 11.00% 10.99% 11.00% 10.98%

CY     Coal Royalty Rate (Percentage) 12.29% 12.33% 12.31% 12.30%

CY     Natural Gas Royalty Rate (Percentage) 12.32% 12.35% 12.34% 12.35%

CY Other Royalties (Millions) $4.681 $0.352 $0.352 $0.352

CY Rent & Bonus (Millions) $2.020 $2.020 $2.020 $2.020

CY Administration Fee (Millions) $1.021 $1.034 $1.034 $1.034

Treasurer's Cash Account

FY     TCA Average Balance w/TRANS (Millions) $291.934 $300.000 $265.500 $265.500

FY     TCA Average Yield (Percent) 6.06% 5.81% 5.51% 5.55%

FY     TRANS Issue Size (Millions) $110.700 $68.600 $90.000 $90.000

Inheritance Tax

FY     Annual Change in Tax (Percent Change) 7.99% 12.42% -5.35% 6.84%

Video Gaming Tax

FY     Video Machine Net Income (Millions) $243.439 $254.964 $267.782 $280.601

Motor Vehicle License Fee -- General Fund Allocations

FY     Motor Vehicle Registration Fee (Millions) $5.864 $5.954 $6.094 $6.237

FY     Recording of Liens Fee (Millions) $0.618 $0.627 $0.634 $0.636

FY     Title Fee (Millions) $1.359 $1.380 $1.411 $1.434

FY     Personal License Plate Fee (Millions) $0.657 $0.674 $0.702 $0.731

FY     New License Plate Fee (Millions) $0.463 $0.463 $0.461 $0.460

FY     Computer Fee (Millions) $1.244 $1.285 $1.307 $1.326

FY     Highway Patrol Fee (Millions) $0.281 $0.281 $0.281 $0.281

FY     Other Fees (Millions) $0.293 $0.295 $0.301 $0.300

Institution Reimbursements

FY     Private Payments (Millions) $1.636 $1.974 $2.235 $2.276

FY     Insurance Payments (Millions) $0.383 $0.295 $0.370 $0.369

FY     Medicaid Payments (Millions) $9.122 $9.829 $10.002 $10.308

FY     Medicare Payments (Millions) $0.073 $0.088 $0.077 $0.077

FY County Payments (Millions) $0.000 $0.250 $0.000 $0.000

FY     Debt Service MT Developmental Center (Millions) ($0.878) ($1.078) ($1.077) ($1.079)

FY     Debt Service MT State Hospital (Millions) $0.000 $0.000 ($1.910) ($1.909)

Cigarette Tax

FY     Cigarette Packs (Millions) 75.779 81.518 82.655 83.795

FY     Effective Tax Rate Per Pack (Cents) 17.48 16.47 16.47 16.47

Coal Severance Tax

CY     Severance Tax Coal Production (Million Tons) 34.605 34.331 31.200 29.843

CY     Montana Contract Sales Price (Weighted CSP/Ton) $6.301 $6.672 $6.889 $6.927

Oil Severance Tax

CY     Severance Tax Oil Production (Million Barrels) 16.006 15.829 15.543 15.207

CY     Montana Oil Price (Weighted Price/Barrel) $12.02 $11.72 $14.11 $15.47

CY     Exempt Value of Production (Millions) $6.755 $7.632 $9.123 $9.309

CY     Effective Tax Rate (Percentage) 11.26% 11.14% 11.05% 10.97%

Lottery Profit

FY     Total Lottery Sales (Millions) $29.775 $29.843 $29.910 $29.978

FY     Lottery Interest Earnings (Millions) $0.251 $0.247 $0.251 $0.256

FY     Other Revenue (Millions) $0.088 $0.094 $0.091 $0.092

FY     Lottery Operating Budget (Millions) $6.510 $7.851 $6.718 $6.852

FY     Lottery Prizes (Millions) $16.971 $16.907 $16.997 $17.010

Liquor Excise Tax

FY     Liquor Units (Millions) 4.714 4.714 4.714 4.714

FY     Dollars Per Unit $9.858 $10.004 $10.176 $10.352

FY     Liquor Discounts and Commissions (Millions) $4.908 $4.981 $5.067 $5.154

Nursing Facilities Fee

FY     Bed Days (Millions) 2.214 2.175 2.136 2.098

Telephone License Tax

FY     Total Taxable Gross Receipts (Millions) $320.741 $336.197 $352.397 $369.378

Liquor Profits

FY     Cost of Goods Sold (Millions) $29.128 $29.863 $30.377 $30.903

FY     Liquor Operating Costs (Millions) $0.904 $0.982 $1.009 $1.038

FY     Other Income (Millions) $0.024 $0.024 $0.024 $0.024

Electric Energy Producers' License Tax

FY     Kilowatt Hours Produced (Millions) 22,727.116 23,009.099 22,926.755 23,073.843

FY     Credits for Loan Interest Rate Differential (Millions) $0.076 $0.038 $0.019 $0.010

Investment License Fees

FY     License Registration (Percent Change) 8.37% 7.53% 6.78% 6.10%

Highway Patrol Fines

FY     Highway Patrol Fines (Percent Change) 4.31% 4.31% 4.31% 4.31%

Driver's License Fees

FY     Driver's License Fees (Millions) $2.401 $2.408 $1.887 $1.615

FY     Duplicate License Fees (Millions) $0.060 $0.060 $0.060 $0.060

FY     Motorcycle Endorsement Fees (Millions) $0.014 $0.016 $0.012 $0.011

FY     Interstate Commercial Vehicle Endorsement (Millions) $0.290 $0.296 $0.232 $0.196

FY     Intrastate Commercial Vehicle Endorsement (Millions) $0.065 $0.066 $0.051 $0.043

Metal Mines Tax

CY     Copper Production (Million lb) 94.073 84.726 84.726 84.726

CY     Silver Production (Million oz) 1.632 1.502 2.580 0.947

CY     Gold Production (Million oz) 0.278 0.269 0.221 0.209

CY     Lead Production (Million lb) 15.732 15.992 7.576 0.000

CY     Zinc Production (Million lb) 47.486 54.438 12.708 0.000

CY     Molybdenum Production (Million lb) 10.209 9.252 9.252 9.252

CY     Palladium Production (Million oz) 0.357 0.505 0.532 0.874

CY     Platinum Production (Million oz) 0.113 0.159 0.168 0.276

CY     Nickel Production (Million lb) 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000

CY     Rhodium Production (Million oz) 0.002 0.002 0.002 0.002

CY     Sapphire Production (Million oz) 1.235 1.235 1.235 1.235

CY     Iron Oxide Production (Million lb) 0.010 0.010 0.010 0.010

CY     Copper Price (Per lb) $0.730 $0.750 $0.770 $0.790

CY     Silver Price (Per oz) $4.950 $5.000 $5.110 $5.190

CY     Gold Price (Per oz) $290.000 $298.000 $306.000 $316.000

CY     Lead Price (Per lb) $0.340 $0.340 $0.340 $0.340

CY     Zinc Price (Per lb) $0.470 $0.470 $0.470 $0.470

CY     Molybdenum Price (Per lb) $3.680 $3.680 $3.680 $3.680

CY     Palladium Price (Per oz) $145.000 $225.000 $225.000 $225.000

CY     Platinum Price (Per oz) $360.000 $360.000 $360.000 $360.000

CY     Nickel Price (Per lb) $3.800 $3.800 $3.800 $3.800

CY     Rhodium Price (Per oz) $550.000 $550.000 $550.000 $550.000

CY     Sapphire Price (Per oz) $0.500 $0.500 $0.500 $0.500

CY     Iron Oxide Price (Per lb) $34.000 $34.000 $34.000 $34.000

FY     Effective Tax Rate (Percent) 1.56% 1.56% 1.56% 1.56%

Contractor's Gross Receipts Tax

FY     Tax Before Credits (Millions) $4.967 $5.332 $6.312 $6.733

FY     Net to General Fund After Credits (Percentage) 53.89% 51.74% 49.68% 47.70%

Railroad Car Tax

CY     Total MT Market Value of Fleets (Millions) $94.051 $94.022 $94.094 $94.123

CY     Taxable Percentage 6.17% 6.17% 6.17% 6.17%

CY     95% of Industrial & Commercial Mill Levy 363.539 367.174 370.846 374.554

Tobacco Products Tax

FY     Value of Tobacco Products $14.409 $15.230 $16.145 $17.117

Natural Gas Severance Tax

CY     Severance Tax Natural Gas Production (MMCF) 51.087 51.203 51.022 50.690

CY     Montana Natural Gas Price (Weighted Price/MCF) $1.636 $1.732 $1.721 $1.710

CY     Exempt Value of Production (Millions) $4.536 $4.808 $4.760 $4.698

CY     Effective Tax Rate (Percentage) 13.13% 13.10% 13.08% 13.07%

Wine Tax

FY     Wine Liters (Millions) 5.942 6.285 6.648 7.032

Beer Tax

FY     Beer Barrels (Millions) 0.773 0.780 0.788 0.795

SELECTED NONGENERAL FUND REVENUE

     The projections for selected nongeneral fund revenue during the 2000-01 biennium are based on an assumption of a continuation of Montana law as it existed on January 1, 1999. The revenue estimates contained in the following table are based on the assumptions stated previously in this resolution, the assumptions listed in the tables that follow the nongeneral fund estimates, and the assumptions contained in the revenue detail report prepared by the Legislative Fiscal Division.

Current Law

Selected Nongeneral Fund Revenue Estimates

(In Millions of Dollars)

      1998 1999 2000 2001

Source of Revenue Actual Estimated Estimated Estimated

Diesel Tax $47.889 $48.094 $48.301 $48.509

Diesel Storage Tank Fee 2.092 1.449 1.455 1.461

Gas Tax 123.597 124.766 125.948 125.641

Gas Storage Tank Fee 3.915 3.720 3.754 3.788

Nongeneral Fund GVW Fees 30.038 31.418 32.479 33.300

Resource Indemnity Trust Tax 2.667 2.216 2.327 2.382

Arts Trust Interest Earnings 0.308 0.308 0.315 0.329

Capitol Land Grant Interest and Income 0.916 0.700 0.928 0.894

Deaf and Blind Trust Interest and Income 0.226 0.229 0.238 0.247

Parks Trust Interest Earnings 1.066 1.096 1.124 1.152

Pine Hills Interest and Income 0.273 0.291 0.300 0.310

Resource Indemnity Trust Earnings 7.556 7.617 7.675 7.737

Treasure State Endowment Interest Earnings 4.250 4.907 5.456 5.989

6-Mill Property Tax 14.702 14.660 14.809 15.280

9-Mill Property Tax 7.510 7.502 7.728 7.960

SELECTED ASSUMPTIONS FOR NONGENERAL FUND REVENUE ESTIMATES

Revenue Oversight Committee

Year     Assumption 1998 1999 2000 2001

Diesel Tax

FY Gallons of Diesel (Millions) 192.323 193.150 193.980 194.814

FY     Refunds (Millions) ($4.947) ($4.969) ($4.990) ($5.011)

Gasoline Tax

FY Gallons of Gasoline (Millions) 491.421 495.942 500.505 505.109

FY Refunds (Millions) $4.012 $4.049 $4.086 $4.124

FY Tribal Distribution $3.748 $3.751 $3.751 $3.751

FY Alcohol Incentive (Millions) $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $1.500

GVW Fees

FY GVW Fees (Millions) $7.568 $8.182 $8.182 $8.182

FY Form 3 GVW Fees (Millions) $0.890 $1.018 $0.998 $0.983

FY Trip Permit Fees (Millions) $0.558 $0.558 $0.558 $0.558

FY County GVW Fees (Millions) $6.921 $7.159 $7.326 $7.384

FY County New Car Sales Tax (Millions) $10.814 $11.410 $12.297 $13.073

FY Overweight Trip Permit Fees (Millions) $1.452 $1.385 $1.418 $1.435

FY Special Permit Fees (Millions) $0.886 $0.852 $0.855 $0.859

FY Temporary Fuel Permits (Millions) $0.106 $0.106 $0.106 $0.106

FY Other Fees (Millions) $0.672 $0.748 $0.738 $0.720

Other 6-Mill Levy Indicators (See General Fund Property Tax Assumptions for Other Detail)

FY     Nonlevy Revenue (Millions) $2.731 $2.824 $2.761 $2.890

FY     SB 417 and Other Adjustments (Millions) $0.000 $0.129 $0.000 $0.000

Other 9-Mill Levy Indicators (See General Fund Property Tax Assumptions for Other Detail)

FY     Nonlevy Revenue (Millions) $0.874 $0.953 $0.983 $1.019

FY     SB 417 and Other Adjustments (Millions) $0.000 $0.000 $0.000 $0.000

- END -




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