2021 Montana Legislature

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            house joint resolution NO. 2

INTRODUCED BY B. Beard

By Request of the Revenue Interim Committee

 

A joint resolution of the Senate and the House of Representatives of the state of montana establishing an official estimate of the state's general fund revenue for fiscal year 2021 and each fiscal year of the 2022-2023 biennium for the purpose of achieving a balanced budget as required by article viii, section 9, of the montana constitution; accepting a preliminary unassigned general fund balance; establishing official estimates of certain nongeneral fund revenue; and requesting that the governor's office of budget and program planning use the revenue estimates contained in this resolution as official estimates for fiscal years 2021, 2022, and 2023.

 

WHEREAS, Article VI, section 9, of the Montana Constitution requires the Governor to submit to the Legislature a budget for the ensuing fiscal period, containing in detail for all operating funds the proposed expenditures and estimated revenue of the state; and

WHEREAS, Article VIII, section 9, of the Montana Constitution prohibits the Legislature from appropriating funds in excess of the anticipated revenue of the state; and

WHEREAS, section 5-5-227(2), MCA, requires the Revenue Interim Committee to estimate the amount of revenue projected to be available for legislative appropriation and to introduce a resolution setting forth the Committee's current revenue estimate; and

WHEREAS, section 5-5-227(3), MCA, expresses the Legislature's intent that its revenue estimates and the underlying assumptions used to derive those estimates be used by all agencies in the development of fiscal notes; and

WHEREAS, the Revenue Interim Committee obtained the assistance of the Legislative Fiscal Analyst in the development of the revenue estimates; and

WHEREAS, the Revenue Interim Committee also obtained the assistance of Executive Branch agencies in the development of the revenue estimates; and

WHEREAS, the Revenue Interim Committee has adopted revenue estimates and the underlying assumptions used to derive those estimates for the general fund and for specific nongeneral fund sources that are significant in the development of the state budget for fiscal year 2021 and the 2022-2023 biennium; and

WHEREAS, section 5-5-227(3), MCA, provides that the Revenue Interim Committee's estimate, as introduced in the Legislature, constitutes the Legislature's current revenue estimate until amended or until final adoption of the estimate by both houses; and

WHEREAS, the amount of estimated revenue and the general fund balance affects policy decisions of the Executive Branch and the Legislative Branch; and

WHEREAS, the revenue estimates and the underlying assumptions contained in this resolution provide the basis for a comprehensive analysis of the state's revenue condition.

 

Now, therefore, be it resolved by the Senate and the House of Representatives OF THE STATE OF MONTANA:

That the state general fund revenue for fiscal years 2021, 2022, and 2023 be estimated to be $2,469,233,000, $2,537,695,000, and$2,647,666,000 $2,567,639,173, $2,644,010,520, and $2,748,873,668, respectively.

BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that the Legislature accept for budget purposes the preliminary unassigned fiscal year 2020 fund balance of $452,411,472 for the general fund, prepared according to generally accepted accounting principles.

BE IT FURTHER RESOLVED, that the Governor's Office of Budget and Program Planning use the revenue estimates and the underlying assumptions contained in this resolution as the official revenue estimates for fiscal years 2021, 2022, and 2023.

GENERAL FUND REVENUE

The projections for general fund revenue for fiscal years 2021, 2022, and 2023 are based on the assumptions of the continuation of Montana and federal law as it existed on January 1, 2021. The revenue estimates contained in the following tables are based on the assumptions listed in the tables that follow the general fund estimates and the assumptions for each general fund revenue source (as adopted by the Revenue Interim Committee) contained in the "Legislative Budget Analysis, 2023 Biennium, Volume 2 -- Revenue Estimates" prepared by the Legislative Fiscal Division.

Current Law

General Fund Revenue Estimates

(In Millions of Dollars)

Actual

Estimated

Estimated

Estimated

Source of Revenue

FY 2020

FY 2021

FY 2022

FY 2023

Largest Seven Sources

Individual Income Tax

$1,435.240

$1,404.584

$1,443.769

$1,523.161

 

$1,435.240

$1,505.449

$1,549.250

$1,623.128

Property Tax

 308.610

 313.021

 333.017

 339.825

 

308.610

313.430

332.412

338.781

Corporation Income Tax

 187.358

 156.256

 163.528

 168.808

 

187.358

149.420

159.088

170.783

Vehicle Taxes & Fees

 108.482

 109.273

 110.402

 111.384

 

108.482

109.320

110.949

112.228

Oil & Natural Gas Production Tax

 38.380

 36.488

 40.402

 41.002

 

38.380

40.367

44.353

40.826

Insurance Tax & License Fees

 82.489

 86.072

 84.780

 87.767

 

82.489

88.450

92.000

 95.723

Video Gambling Tax

 57.447

 60.320

 63.336

 66.503

Largest Seven Sources Subtotal

 2,218.007

 2,166.012

 2,239.233

 2,338.449

 

2,218.007

2,266.756

2,351.388

 2,447.971

 

 

 

 

 

Other Business Taxes

 

 

 

 

Driver's License Fee

 4.410

 4.029

 4.053

 4.071

 

4.410

4.041

4.073

4.097

Investment License Fee

 15.711

 16.385

 16.524

 16.866

 

15.711

16.385

16.580

17.014

Lodging Taxes

 25.058

 20.878

 30.589

 36.378

 

25.058

21.494

28.337

32.941

Public Contractors Tax

 6.729

 4.987

 5.103

 5.206

 

6.729

4.985

5.083

5.181

Railroad Car Tax

 4.294

 4.305

 4.393

 5.140

 

4.294

4.305

4.391

5.509

Rental Car Sales Tax

 4.224

 3.823

 4.727

 5.219

 

4.224

3.571

 4.681

5.212

Telecommunications Excise Tax

 11.788

 10.954

 10.085

 9.190

 

 11.788

11.004

10.168

9.287

Other Business Taxes Subtotal

 72.213

 65.361

 75.473

 82.070

 

 72.213

65.786

73.313

79.240

 

 

 

 

Other Natural Resource Taxes

 

 

 

 

Coal Severance Tax

 10.920

 10.966

 10.812

 10.648

 

10.920

9.553

8.697

 7.689

Electrical Energy Tax

 3.910

 4.480

 4.223

 4.203

 

3.910

 3.987

3.759

3.741

Metalliferous Mines Tax

 8.724

 9.922

 8.038

 8.222

US Mineral Royalty

 18.527

 18.729

 17.909

 17.221

 

18.527

17.619

16.196

14.526

Wholesale Energy Tax

 3.351

 3.467

 3.460

 3.466

Other Natural Resource Taxes Subtotal

 45.432

 47.563

 44.442

 43.760

 

 45.432

44.548

40.150

37.644

 

 

 

 

Other Interest Earnings

 

 

 

 

Coal Trust Interest

 21.600

 17.904

 16.828

 15.700

 

21.600

 17.896

 16.813

15.693

Treasury Cash Account Interest

 18.597

 2.740

 1.582

 1.724

 

18.597

2.392

1.002

1.440

Other Interest Earnings Subtotal

 40.197

 20.645

 18.409

 17.424

 

 40.197

20.288

17.816

17.133

 

 

 

 

Other Consumption Taxes

 

 

 

 

Beer Tax

 3.167

 3.102

 3.111

 3.117

 

3.167

3.119

3.133

3.142

Cigarette Tax

 26.983

 27.045

 26.558

 26.113

 

 26.983

27.080

26.542

25.908

Liquor Excise & License Tax

 23.786

 24.930

 26.426

 28.014

 

23.786

24.960

26.436

27.901

Liquor Profits

 18.080

 15.800

 15.800

 16.900

 

18.080

15.800

15.800

16.800

Lottery Profits

 8.073

 13.144

 13.021

 13.145

 

8.073

13.224

13.122

13.259

Tobacco Tax

 5.754

 5.724

 5.627

 5.565

 

5.754

5.646

5.534

5.472

Wine Tax

 2.522

 2.579

 2.637

 2.697

 

2.522

2.577

2.634

2.693

Other Consumption Taxes Subtotal

 88.364

 92.323

 93.179

 95.550

 

88.364

 92.407

93.201

95.175

 

 

 

 

Other Sources

 

 

 

 

All Other Revenue

 46.062

 44.685

 44.075

 46.685

 

46.062

 45.100

45.168

47.889

Highway Patrol Fines

 3.458

 3.691

 3.670

 3.607

Nursing Facilities Fee

 4.188

 3.992

 3.896

 3.799

Public Institution Reimbursements

 12.745

 12.555

 12.382

 13.410

Tobacco Settlement

 2.654

 12.406

 2.936

 2.912

 

2.654

12.517

3.028

3.007

Other Sources Subtotal

 69.107

 77.329

 66.958

 70.413

 

 69.107

77.855

68.143

71.711

 

 

 

 

Total General Fund

$2,533.321

$2,469.233

$2,537.695

$2,647.666

 

$2,533.321

$2,567.639

$2,644.011

$2,748.874

Guarantee Fund

42.452

42.928

42.374

42.646

 

SIGNIFICANT ASSUMPTIONS FOR GENERAL FUND REVENUE ESTIMATES

Year    Assumption                                                                            2020     2021    2022    2023

Largest Seven Sources

Individual Income Tax

CY

Wage & salary income growth

-0.6%

4.2%

3.6%

3.8%

 

 

3.6%

6.9%

3.4%

4.1%

CY

Interest income growth

-2.8%

-1.2%

-0.1%

0.7%

 

 

-4.5%

-4.2%

-3.2%

0.2%

CY

Dividend income growth

0.6%

-5.6%

1.4%

5.5%

 

 

-29.4%

-5.4%

12.9%

2.6%

CY

Taxable refunds growth

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

CY

Alimony received growth

-7.1%

-7.1%

-7.1%

-7.1%

 

 

-6.4%

-6.4%

-6.4%

-6.4%

CY

Net business growth

0.5%

2.1%

-0.1%

2.3%

 

 

0.8%

3.0%

1.6%

2.0%

CY

Capital gains income growth

-2.1%

-1.6%

-1.1%

1.8%

 

 

0.8%

18.9%

6.7%

3.7%

CY

Supplemental gains income growth

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

CY

Rents, royalties & partnership income growth

-1.2%

3.1%

5.2%

6.7%

 

 

0.0%

7.0%

4.0%

5.9%

CY

IRA income growth

-13.2%

29.5%

5.1%

4.9%

 

 

-15.2%

9.5%

6.3%

5.2%

CY

Taxable pension income growth

5.5%

5.0%

4.9%

4.5%

 

 

-0.1%

5.5%

6.0%

4.4%

CY

Taxable social security income growth

7.1%

6.1%

4.4%

4.3%

 

 

5.2%

5.7%

6.8%

3.6%

CY

Farm income growth

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

CY

Unemployment compensation growth

1076.4%

-91.5%

0.0%

0.0%

CY

Other income growth

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

0.0%

CY

Total additions (Millions)

$838.411

$837.533

$835.456

$834.458

 

 

$928.287

$931.997

$927.334

$924.924

CY

Total adjustments (Millions)

$518.665

$533.578

$548.492

$563.406

 

 

$518.691

$533.618

$548.545

$563.471

CY

Total reductions (Millions)

$1,903.006

$1,996.333

$2,094.979

$2,199.011

 

 

$1,940.933

$2,042.829

$2,153.064

$2,269.849

CY

Federal inflation factor

1.6%

1.9%

2.0%

1.6%

 

 

1.6%

1.3%

1.9%

1.7%

CY

State inflation factor

0.9%

3.0%

2.3%

1.8%

 

 

1.8%

0.9%

2.6%

1.5%

CY

Full year resident adjustment

97.0%

102.3%

100.7%

100.7%

 

 

97.1%

99.4%

100.8%

101.6%

CY

Non-resident adjustment

105.1%

105.1%

105.1%

105.1%

 

 

105.0%

105.0%

105.0%

105.0%

FY

Earned income tax credit (Millions)

$5.031

$5.210

$5.290

$5.311

 

 

$5.031

$5.509

$5.195

$5.340

CY

Elderly homeowner/renter credits (Millions)

$7.385

$7.131

$6.846

$6.621

 

 

$7.395

$7.141

$6.887

$6.633

CY

All other credits (Millions)

$65.174

$66.145

$68.763

$72.274

 

 

$69.359

$73.088

$75.511

$79.014

FY

Audit, penalty & interest collections (Millions)

 

$53.397

$56.280

$58.577

 

 

 

$55.543

$60.789

$63.688

Revenue Interim Committee Adjustment (Millions)

 

-$30.160

-$30.160

-$30.160

 

Impacts of federal CARES Act and Consolidated Appropriations Act (Millions)

 

-$10.68

-$9.73

-$20.45

 

Property Tax

FY

Class 1 taxable value (Millions)

$4.745

$5.747

$5.014

FY

Class 2 taxable value (Millions)

$31.695

$30.409

$26.528

FY

Class 3 taxable value (Millions)

$157.219

$162.025

$161.889

FY

Class 4 taxable value (Millions)

$1,987.610

$2,196.052

$2,236.569

FY

Class 5 taxable value (Millions)

$50.769

$51.877

$53.009

FY

Class 7 taxable value (Millions)

$0.003

$0.003

$0.003

FY

Class 8 taxable value (Millions)

$163.006

$163.657

$164.311

 

 

 

$167.304

$163.657

$164.311

FY

Class 9 taxable value (Millions)

$535.254

$567.495

$601.677

FY

Class 10 taxable value (Millions)

$4.870

$4.858

$4.846

FY

Class 12 taxable value (Millions)

$101.163

$106.077

$110.907

FY

Class 13 taxable value (Millions)

$162.733

$158.349

$154.082

FY

Class 14 taxable value (Millions)

$17.567

$17.693

$17.819

FY

Class 15 taxable value (Millions)

$1.830

$1.751

$1.675

FY

Abatement value (Millions)

$26.392

$28.422

$29.015

 

 

 

$26.428

 

 

FY

TIF Value (Millions)

$49.924

$52.985

$53.311

 

Corporation Income Tax

CY

WTI price ($/bbl)

$38.7

$46.0

$54.4

$56.1

 

 

$39.2

$59.3

$56.9

$58.1

CY

Domestic crude price ($/bbl)

$39.4

$45.7

$54.3

$54.9

 

 

$40.4

$57.7

$57.0

$57.8

CY

Montana retail sales (Millions)

$18,693

$19,623

$19,481

$19,842

 

 

$18,833

$20,628

$20,719

$21,494

CY

Montana median home price ($)

$270,945

$278,815

$288,384

$298,767

 

 

$281,753

$310,054

$322,893

$334,929

CY

Montana population (Thousands)

1,075.4

1,079.8

1,084.6

1,089.5

 

 

1,081.4

1,088.3

1,094.5

1,100.1

CY

Wholesale employment (Thousands)

17.2

17.5

18.3

18.8

 

 

 

 

18.5

19.3

CY

3-month commercial paper

0.6%

0.2%

0.3%

0.3%

 

 

0.56%

0.1%

0.2%

 

FY

Audit, penalty & interest collections (Millions)

 

$17.056

$16.174

$16.897

 

 

 

$17.034

$16.488

$18.469

FY

Refunds (Millions)

 

-$27.290

-$25.879

-$27.035

 

 

 

-$27.254

-$26.380

-$29.551

 

Vehicles Vehicle Taxes & Fees

FY

Montana new vehicle sales (Thousands)

 49.026

54.069

56.677

 

 

 

50.130

56.978

58.936

FY

US new vehicle sales (Millions)

 15.211

15.593

15.782

 

 

 

15.911

16.432

16.411

FY

US total vehicle stock (Millions)

 291.245

 293.240

 295.319

 

 

 

291.646

294.611

297.442

 

Oil & Natural Gas Production Tax

CY

WTI price ($/bbl)

$38.661

 $46.040

 $54.416

 $56.098

 

 

$38.661

$59.300

$56.883

$58.141

CY

Montana oil price ratio

0.880

 0.880

 0.880

 0.880

CY

Total oil production (Million barrels)

18.294

 15.789

 14.636

 13.639

 

 

18.122

15.098

14.014

13.061

CY

Holiday oil production (Million barrels)

2.472

 0.108

 0.098

 0.087

 

 

2.516

0.109

0.098

0.087

CY

Henry Hub price ($/MCF)

$1.963

 $3.207

 $2.821

 $3.163

 

 

$2.033

$3.061

$2.975

$2.816

CY

Montana natural gas price ratio

0.626

 0.626

 0.626

 0.626

CY

Total natural gas production (Million MCFs)

86.564

 81.110

 78.513

 73.134

 

 

35.614

34.473

32.112

31.113

CY

Holiday natural gas production (Million MCFs)

3.402

 0.343

 0.332

 0.309

 

 

3.726

0.341

0.330

0.307

 

Insurance Tax & License Fees

FY

Montana PCE Finance & Insurance (Millions)

 $3,437

 $3,171

 $3,285

 

 

 

$3,601

$3,603

$3,761

 

 

 

Other Business Taxes

Driver's License Fee

CY

Montana population age 16 and over (Millions)

 0.877

 0.882

 0.887

 

 

 

0.885

0.892

0.899

 

Investment License Fee

FY

Montana PCE Finance & Insurance (Millions)

 $3,437

 $3,171

 $3,285

 

 

 

$3,601

$3,603

$3,761

 

Lodging Taxes

FY

US consumer spending on accommodations (Billions)

 $101

 $149

 $178

 

Alternative lodging tax assumption (Millions)

$1.12

-$1.85

-$4.50

 

Public Contractors Tax

 

 

 

FY

Highway payments (Millions)

 $366

 $373

 $381

FY

Other payments (Millions)

 $258

 $264

 $270

 

 

 

$258

$262

$267

 

Railroad Car Tax

 

 

 

FY

Montana retail sales (Millions)

 $18,076

 $18,237

 $19,606

 

 

 

$18,076

$18,233

$20,281

 

Rental Car Sales Tax

 

 

 

FY

Montana PCE Transportation (Millions)

 $914

 $1,067

 $1,150

 

 

 

$872

$1,059

$1,149

 

Telecommunications Excise Tax

 

 

 

 

FY

Montana population age 16 and over (Millions)

 

 0.875

 0.879

 0.885

 

 

 

0.885

0.892

0.899

CY

Landline %

 36%

 30%

 24%

 18%

CY

Cell Phone %

 96%

 96%

 96%

 96%

CY

Prepaid smartphone penetration

 40%

 40%

 40%

 40%

 

Other Natural Resource Taxes

Coal Severance Tax

CY

Price ($/Ton)

 $16.19

 $16.48

 $16.69

 $16.82

 

 

$15.39

$15.57

$15.66

$16.96

CY

Production (Million Tons)

 26.740

 25.711

 24.868

 24.061

 

 

24.728

22.255

20.030

16.349

 

Electrical Energy Tax

 

 

 

 

FY

Taxable Production (KWH)

 

 22,398

 21,115

 21,015

 

 

 

19,935

18,793

18,704

 

Metalliferous Mines Tax

 

 

 

 

CY

Price: Copper ($/lb)

 $2.65

 $3.04

 $3.06

 $3.07

CY

Price: Silver ($/oz)

 $20

 $17

 $17

 $17

CY

Price: Gold ($/oz)

 $1,750

 $1,590

 $1,568

 $1,546

CY

Price: Moly ($/lb)

 $10

 $10

 $9

 $9

CY

Price: Palladium ($/oz)

 $2,160

 $1,241

 $1,367

 $1,467

CY

Price: Platinum ($/oz)

 $867

 $1,000

 $1,025

 $1,051

 

US Mineral Royalty

FFY

Oil price ($/bbl)

 $45.04

 $40.44

 $36.30

 $32.59

FFY

Oil production (Million barrels)

 2.558

 2.441

 2.324

 2.207

FFY

Coal price ($/Ton)

 $22.99

 $23.10

 $23.32

 $23.43

 

 

$21.99

$21.73

$21.89

$23.08

FFY

Coal production (Million Tons)

 14.010

 3.038

 12.578

 12.158

 

 

13.277

11.535

10.381

8.647

FFY

Natural gas price ($/MCF)

 $2.40

 $2.37

 $2.34

 $2.32

FFY

Natural gas production (Million MCFs)

 9.573

 8.695

 7.817

 6.940

FFY

Rent and bonus payments (Millions)

 $2.598

 $2.598

 $2.598

 $2.598

 

Wholesale Energy Tax

 

 

 

 

FY

Production (KWH)

 

 23,771

 23,726

 23,761

 

Other Interest Earnings

 

 

 

 

Coal Trust Interest

FY

Short term interest rates

 0.30%

 0.17%

 0.18%

 

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

FY

Long term interest rates

 3.40%

 3.10%

 2.79%

 

 

Treasury Cash Account Interest

 

 

 

FY

Short term interest rates

 0.30%

 0.17%

 0.18%

 

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

FY

Average balance (Millions)

 $929

 $933

 $934

 

Other Consumption Taxes

Beer Tax

FY

Montana PCE food (Millions)

 $5,456

 $5,781

 $6,127

 

 

 

5,451

5,770

6,089

FY

Montana population age 21 and above (Millions)

 0.811

 0.816

 0.821

 

 

 

0.818

0.825

 0.831

 

Cigarette Tax

 

 

 

FY

Consumer spending on tobacco (Millions)

 $105

 $103

 $105

 

 

 

$103

$101

$98

FY

CPI for tobacco

 140

 144

 151

 

 

 

141

147

154

FY

Montana population age 18 and above (Millions)

 0.851

 0.856

 0.861

 

 

 

0.859

0.866

0.872

 

Liquor Excise & License Tax

FY

Montana PCE food (Millions)

 $5,456

 $5,781

 $6,127

 

 

 

5,451

5,770

6,089

 

Liquor Profits

 

 

 

FY

Montana PCE food (Millions)

 $5,456

 $5,781

 $6,127

 

 

 

5,451

5,770

6,089

Revenue Interim Committee Adjustments (Millions)

 -$1.961

 -$1.961

 -$1.961

 

Lottery Profits

 

 

 

FY

Montana population age 18 and above (Millions)

 0.851

 0.856

 0.861

 

 

 

0.859

0.866

0.872

FY

Short term interest rates

 0.30%

 0.17%

 0.18%

 

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

Revenue Interim Committee Adjustments (Millions)

 -$1.961

 -$1.961

 -$1.961

 

Tobacco Tax

 

 

 

FY

Montana population age 18 and above (Millions)

 0.851

 0.856

 0.861

 

 

 

0.859

0.866

0.872

FY

Montana PCE (Millions)

 $65,173

 $68,287

 $71,623

 

 

 

$68,630

$71,977

$75,427

 

Wine Tax

 

 

 

FY

Montana population age 21 and above (Millions)

 0.811

 0.816

 0.821

 

 

 

0.818

0.825

0.831

 

Other Sources

 

 

 

All Other Revenue

FY

Time series

 2021

 2022

 2023

 

Highway Patrol Fines

FY

Time series

 2021

 2022

 2023

 

Nursing Facilities Fee

FY

Time series

 2021

 2022

 2023

 

Public Institution Reimbursements

FY

Montana nursing facility residents

 3,732

 3,625

 3,518

 

Tobacco Settlement

FY

Volume (Millions)

 0.187

 0.179

 0.172

 

 

 

0.183

0.185

0.178

FY

Inflation

 3.0%

 3.0%

 3.0%

 

SELECTED NONGENERAL FUND REVENUE

The estimates for selected nongeneral fund revenue for fiscal year 2021 and the 2022-2023 biennium are based on the assumptions of a continuation of Montana law as it existed on January 1, 2021. The revenue estimates contained in the following tables are based on the assumptions listed in the tables that follow the nongeneral fund estimates and the assumptions for each nongeneral fund revenue source contained in the "Legislative Budget Analysis, 2023 Biennium, Volume 2 -- Revenue Estimates" prepared by the Legislative Fiscal Division.

 

Current Law

Selected Nongeneral Fund Revenue Estimates

(In Millions of Dollars)

Actual

Estimated

Estimated

Estimated

Source of Revenue

FY 2020

FY 2021

FY 2022

FY 2023

Property Tax: 6 Mill

$19.877

$20.303

$21.584

$22.007

 

 $19.877

 $20.329

 $21.503

 $21.868

Natural Resource Taxes

Federal Forest Receipts

 13.801

 13.111

 3.760

 3.917

Resource Indemnity Tax

 2.269

 2.427

 2.213

 2.061

 

2.269

2.317

1.933

1.662

Natural Resource Taxes Subtotal

 16.070

 15.538

 5.974

 5.978

 

16.070

15.428

5.694

5.579

 

 

 

 

Interest Earnings

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Capital Land Grant Interest and Income

 2.194

 1.844

 1.815

 1.939

Common School Interest and Income

 41.186

 41.986

 41.478

 41.917

 

41.186

42.000

41.446

41.719

Cultural Trust Interest

 0.480

 0.483

 0.445

 0.406

 

0.480

0.482

0.443

0.404

Deaf & Blind Interest and Income

 0.307

 0.362

 0.357

 0.360

 

0.307

0.361

0.356

0.358

Economic Development Trust

 3.782

 3.928

 4.121

 3.406

 

3.782

3.912

4.084

3.356

Parks Trust Interest

 0.888

 0.874

 0.804

 0.735

 

0.888

0.872

0.800

0.730

Pine Hills Interest and Income

 0.379

 0.390

 0.403

 0.423

 

0.379

0.390

0.402

0.422

Regional Water Trust Interest

 3.153

 3.093

 2.830

 2.574

 

3.153

3.091

2.827

2.572

Resource Indemnity Trust Interest

 3.557

 3.504

 3.186

 2.867

School Facilities Trust Interest

 1.550

 1.407

 1.830

 2.126

 

1.550

1.405

1.713

1.882

Tobacco Trust Interest

 9.253

 8.939

 8.166

 7.417

 

7.725

7.887

8.249

7.844

Treasure State Endowment Trust Interest

 7.725

 7.884

 8.250

 7.845

 

9.253

8.933

8.156

7.412

Interest Earnings Subtotal

 74.456

 74.694

 73.685

 72.015

 

74.456

74.681

73.477

71.504

 

 

 

 

Consumption Taxes

 

 

 

 

Diesel Tax

 90.549

 85.784

 85.326

 85.883

Gasoline Tax

 171.584

 172.672

 176.112

 179.586

GVW and Other Fees

 35.555

 35.807

 36.000

 36.193

Marijuana Tax

 -

 -

 14.313

 25.698

Consumption Taxes Subtotal

 297.688

 294.262

 311.751

 327.360

 

 

 

 

Total of Selected Nongeneral Fund Sources

$408.091

$404.798

$412.994

$427.360

 

$408.091

$404.701

$412.424

$426.311

 

SELECTED ASSUMPTIONS FOR NONGENERAL FUND REVENUE ESTIMATES

Year    Assumption                                         2021    2022    2023

Property Tax: 6 Mill

FY

Taxable Value (Millions)

$3,218.465

$3,465.993

$3,538.329

 

 

 3,222.763

 3,465.993

 3,538.329

FY

TIF Value (Millions)

$26.392

$28.422

$29.015

 

 

 49.924

 52.985

 53.311

FY

Abatement value (Millions)

$49.924

$52.985

$53.311

 

 

 26.428

 28.422

 29.015

 

 

 

Natural Resource Taxes

Federal Forest Receipts

FY

Total Montana Receipts (Millions)

$13.111

$3.760

$3.917

 

Resource Indemnity Tax

 

 

 

FY

Coal Receipts (Millions)

$2.097

$1.920

$1.887

 

 

$1.987

$1.640

$1.488

FY

Other Receipts (Millions)

$0.330

$0.293

$0.174

 

 

 

 

Interest Earnings

Capital Land Grant Interest and Income

FY

Lease Total (Millions)

$0.648

$0.674

$0.674

FY

Permanent Fund Total (Millions)

$2.224

$2.198

$2.323

FY

Administration Costs (Millions)

-$1.028

-$1.057

-$1.057

 

Common School Interest and Income

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.41%

3.11%

3.11%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Cultural Trust Interest

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.37%

3.08%

2.79%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Deaf & Blind Interest and Income

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.41%

3.11%

3.11%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Economic Development Trust

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.33%

3.43%

2.77%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Parks Trust Interest

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.37%

3.08%

2.79%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Pine Hills Interest and Income

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.41%

3.11%

3.11%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Regional Water Trust Interest

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.29%

3.01%

2.74%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Resource Indemnity Trust Interest

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.50%

3.19%

2.87%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

School Facilities Trust Interest

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.81%

3.43%

3.05%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Tobacco Trust Interest

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.30%

3.02%

2.74%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

 

Treasure State Endowment Trust Interest

FY

TFBP Long Term Interest Rate

3.32%

3.04%

2.76%

FY

Short Term Interest Rate

0.30%

0.17%

0.18%

 

 

0.26%

0.11%

0.15%

Consumption Taxes

Diesel Tax

FY

Time Series

20192021

2022

2023

 

Gasoline Tax

FY

Time Series

2021

2022

2023

 

GVW and Other Fees

FY

Time Series

2021

2022

2023

 


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